{"id":98847,"date":"2022-02-14T01:41:33","date_gmt":"2022-02-13T21:41:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forbes.ge\/ekonomikuri-kalendari-ras-unda-velodoth-mimdinare-kviras-49\/"},"modified":"2022-02-14T01:44:51","modified_gmt":"2022-02-13T21:44:51","slug":"ekonomikuri-kalendari-ras-unda-velodoth-mimdinare-kviras-49","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dev.forbes.ge\/en\/ekonomikuri-kalendari-ras-unda-velodoth-mimdinare-kviras-49\/","title":{"rendered":"Top 5 Things to Watch in Markets in the Week Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"

Concerns over tensions between Russia and Ukraine together with uncertainty over how aggressively the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates look set to dominate market sentiment in the week ahead. Wednesday\u2019s Fed minutes may provide a sense of how quickly policymakers want to move, while appearances by several Fed officials will also be parsed for clues. The U.S. data calendar features January figures on producer prices, which will be closely watched after data last week showing\u00a0consumer prices<\/a>\u00a0hit their highest in 40 years last month. Meanwhile, earnings season is ending, but not before a last flurry of reports. And the U.K. is to release a string of economic data that looks set to keep the Bank of England on track for more rate hikes. Here\u2019s what you need to know to start your week.<\/p>\n

Geopolitical tensions<\/strong><\/h5>\n

Wall Street\u2019s three main indexes closed sharply lower on Friday after the White House warned that a Russian attack on Ukraine could begin any day. While stocks got hit, prices for Treasuries, the\u00a0dollar<\/a>\u00a0and other safe-haven assets, such as\u00a0gold<\/a>\u00a0rose.<\/p>\n

Crude<\/a>\u00a0prices also surged as the prospect of sanctions on Russia, a top producer, added to fears over already tight global supplies.<\/p>\n

Some analysts believe soaring\u00a0crude<\/a>\u00a0prices could exacerbate already high inflation, adding to pressure on the Fed to raise rates more aggressively.<\/p>\n

\u201cBy pushing energy prices even higher, a Russian invasion would likely exacerbate inflation and redouble pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates,\u201d said Bill Adams, Chief Economist for\u00a0Comerica\u00a0Bank, in a note cited by Reuters.<\/p>\n

\u201cFrom the Fed\u2019s perspective, the inflationary effects of a Russian invasion and higher energy prices would likely outweigh the shock\u2019s negative implications for global growth,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Fed minutes, speakers<\/strong><\/h5>\n

With markets already pricing in a strong chance the Fed will hike rates by half a percentage point at its upcoming March meeting, Wednesday\u2019s\u00a0minutes<\/a> from the Fed’s January meeting will be scrutinized for any indications on how big a move officials are contemplating.<\/p>\n

Last month Fed Chair Jerome Powell flagged a March lift-off and said there was \u201cquite a bit of room\u201d to raise interest rates without threatening the recovery in the labour market.<\/p>\n

On Friday,\u00a0Goldman Sachs\u00a0said it now expects seven quarter percentage point rate hikes this year, up from its previous forecast of five, as it updated its forecast following Thursday’s U.S. CPI data.<\/p>\n

Several Fed officials are due to make appearances this week that will also be closely watched. St. Louis Fed\u2019s\u00a0Bullard<\/a>\u00a0and Cleveland Fed President Loretta\u00a0Mester<\/a>\u00a0are to speak on Thursday. On Friday Fed Governor Lael\u00a0Brainard<\/a>\u00a0speaks, as do New York Fed President John\u00a0Williams<\/a>, Fed Governor Christopher\u00a0Waller<\/a>\u00a0and Chicago Fed President Charles\u00a0Evans<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Last Thursday Bullard said in the light of the latest CPI reading he now wants a full percentage point of interest rate hikes over the next three Fed meetings.<\/p>\n

U.S Economic Data<\/strong><\/h5>\n

Markets will get an additional update on the inflation picture with Tuesday\u2019s release of\u00a0producer price inflation<\/a>\u00a0figures, which are expected to remain elevated.<\/p>\n

Soaring inflation has seen consumer sentiment deteriorate so Wednesday\u2019s data on retail sales will also be in focus this week. Retail sales are expected to have risen\u00a01.8%<\/a>\u00a0last month, boosted by higher auto sales.<\/p>\n

The economic calendar features reports on\u00a0industrial production<\/a>,\u00a0initial jobless claims<\/a>,\u00a0existing home sales<\/a>,\u00a0building permits<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0housing starts<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Earnings<\/strong><\/h5>\n

Earnings season is drawing to a close, but this week will see a big flurry of notable reports. Airbnb\u00a0Inc (NASDAQ:ABNB<\/a>) reports on Tuesday, followed by semiconductor giant NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA<\/a>) and Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO<\/a>), which are both due to report after the close of trade on Wednesday.<\/p>\n

Retailer Walmart (NYSE:WMT<\/a>), known for its everyday low pricing, reports Thursday and is better positioned than other retailers to withstand rising price pressures. The pandemic has triggered inflation across the supply chain from labour to raw materials, forcing companies to pass higher prices onto consumers. However, many companies could still not fully offset the impact and that hit their profits.<\/p>\n

Deere (NYSE:DE<\/a>), the world\u2019s largest maker of farm equipment reports Friday.<\/p>\n

U.K. Data<\/strong><\/h5>\n

It\u2019s a packed week on the U.K. economic calendar with the latest\u00a0jobs<\/a>\u00a0figures out Tuesday,\u00a0inflation<\/a>\u00a0data on Wednesday and\u00a0retail sales<\/a>\u00a0on Friday.<\/p>\n

The Bank of England has just delivered the first back-to-back rate hikes since 2004 amid surging inflation, which it expects to peak above 7%. Markets are currently pricing in another 130 basis points in hikes before the end of the year.<\/p>\n

The jobs report is expected to show the unemployment rate edging down from last month\u2019s reading of 4.1% while the annual rate of inflation is expected to hold steady at 5.4%.<\/p>\n

Retail sales are expected to rebound from December\u2019s 3.7% slump, but inflation, rising energy bills, higher rates and tax hikes will all weigh on the outlook.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Concerns over tensions between Russia and Ukraine together with uncertainty over how aggressively the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates look set to dominate market sentiment in the week ahead. Wednesday\u2019s Fed minutes may provide a sense of how quickly policymakers want to move, while appearances by several Fed officials will also be […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":675,"featured_media":86016,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1747,1749,1796,1750,1753,1755],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-business-en","category-ekonomikuri-kalendari-en","category-economics-en","category-georgia","category-world","has-thumb"],"yoast_head":"\nTop 5 Things to Watch in Markets in the Week Ahead • Forbes Georgia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.forbes.ge\/en\/ekonomikuri-kalendari-ras-unda-velodoth-mimdinare-kviras-49\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Top 5 Things to Watch in Markets in the Week Ahead • Forbes Georgia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Concerns over tensions between Russia and Ukraine together with uncertainty over how aggressively the Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates look set to dominate market sentiment in the week ahead. 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